Content available exclusively for subscribers
The Jets should win this game. In fact, if they lose, they probably didn’t play well. Sign-up for our premium package for just $7.95 a month.
True the Dolphins are 2-0, but they didn’t exactly light it up offensively in the first two games.
They won 15-10 (Buffalo) and 14-10 (Minnesota). Against the Vikings last week, one of their touchdowns was a fumble recovery by linebacker Koa Misi in the end zone after a Brett Favre turnover. They also recorded a safety against Buffalo.
So in two games, the Miami offense has averaged 10 points per game.
And there offense has been so underwhelming, there are rumblings that quarterback Chad Henne’s job security is shaky.
“Chad Henne of the Dolphins does not play well this week, I can sense that the Dolphins might make a change and go back to Chad Pennington,” said the NFL Network’s Mike Lombardi. “Miami knows it needs to score points and must make plays through the air. This is a huge game for Henne.”
And Vic Carucci of NFL.com reported right before the opener that the Bill Parcells was very down on Henne.
The Dolphins needs to get Brandon Marshall a little more involved. True he had eight catches in the opener, but it was for just over a six yard average.
And Antonio Cromartie’s experience covering Marshall in Denver, should help the Jets corner a great deal in this game. True Marshall had an 18 catch game against San Diego a couple of years ago, but Cromartie claims that only four of those catches were on him. We can’t verify this, but we will have to take his work on that.
The 6-3 Cromartie is a great matchup for the 6-4 Marshall. Probably a better matchup that Darrelle Revis. After the Revis injury last week, “Cro” shut down Moss. And recall in the Jets-Denver game, two years ago, Revis was good, not great against Marshall.
I think the Jets will be able to stop the run against Miami. The Dolphins combo of Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown is having a pretty good season so far, essentially splitting the carries equally. But the Jets run defense has been outstanding so far. The combo of Sione Pouha and Mike DeVito are tough to run on, and obviously Bart Scott and David Harris behind them, also have a lot to do with it. And while the Dolphins are solid at offensive tackle, the interior line has been a revolving door over the last month, and the Jets should win this battle.
Offensively, the Jets are in for a challenge, especially if they keep Braylon Edwards on the bench too long to appease Gary Myers and Ian O’Connor.
Mike Nolan is a superb defensive coordinator, and the results so far have been impressive. Favre threw three picks last week.
Big money inside linebacker Karlos Dansby is paying immediate dividends, and rookie outside linebacker Misi looks like the real deal.
But the Dolphins have two key defensive injuries – first round pick. defensive end Jared Odrick is out with a foot injury, and inside linebacker, Channing Crowder, might not play with a groin injury.
And the Jets offense is better than Buffalo’s and Minnesota’s (without Sidney Rice), so this will be a bigger challenge for Miami.
I don’t expect the Jets to put up a lot of points in this game, but enough to win.
The Jets are the better team right now, and they should be able to get by Miami.